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Artificial intelligence must be possible. But I don't think just yet.

Posted to Gurteen Knowledge-Log by David Gurteen on 27 June 2017

 


Title

Artificial intelligence must be possible. But I don't think just yet.
WeblogGurteen Knowledge Log
Knowledge LetterAppears in the Gurteen Knowledge Letter issue: 204
Posted DateTuesday 30 May 2017 16:11 GDT
Posted ByDavid Gurteen
Linkshttps://aeon.co/essays/how-close-are-we-to-creating-artifici ... 
https://www.engadget.com/2016/08/15/technological-singularit ... 

I have a confession to make, unlike many of my colleagues, I'm an AGI (artificial general intelligence) sceptic :-)

The prevailing logic seems to be that as we build more and more powerful processors that have a similar compute capacity to the human brain or similar massive connectivity that consciousness will simply emerge. "Experts" predict AGI will happen in the next 25 - 50 years.

I believe this is wishful thinking. We could connect a quadrillion or more iPhones and consciousness is not just going to emerge!

Today, we don't have a clue how the mind works or the nature of consciousness and until we do any prediction of when AGI might happen is just a wild guess.

I am sure we will crack it one day - just not in any of our lifetimes. That's my best guess :-)

But then I am no expert - here are David Deutch’s views.

And another sceptical view point from Jessica Conditt.



If you are interested in Knowledge Management, the Knowledge Café Knowledge Café or the role of conversation in organizational life then you my be interested in this online book I am writing on Conversational Leadership
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Sunday 22 October 2017
04:15 PM GDT