Blog Post

Long Bets

Posted to Gurteen Knowledge-Log by David Gurteen on 28 April 2002



Long Bets
WeblogGurteen Knowledge Log
Posted DateSunday 28 April 2002 17:28 GDT
Posted ByDavid Gurteen
PeopleDan Gillmor , Mitch Kapor 

A computer - or "machine intelligence" - will pass the Turing Test by 2029. Mitch Kapor says 'No', Ray Kurzweil says 'Yes' and they are prepared to bet on it. If you are a gambling man or woman and like long bets then you really must take a look at this site - it is just so cool!

If you believe that by 2050, we will still not have received intelligent signals from outside our solar system and you have $1,000 to gamble then go to the site and put your money where you mouth is!

Oh and one last point - the winnings all go to charity!

Also see Dan Gillmors column.

If you are interested in Knowledge Management, the Knowledge Café or the role of conversation in organizational life then you my be interested in this online book I am writing on Conversational Leadership
David Gurteen

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